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EFL Championship

Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion prediction: EFL Championship, Tuesday 13 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Wrexham

West Bromwich Albion

Wrexham
41%MegaPari 2.38
Draw
28%MegaPari 3.25
West Bromwich Albion
31%MegaPari 2.87

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

xG 1.4–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)

Wrexham host West Bromwich Albion in the EFL Championship on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT.

Who will win Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion?

There is little to separate the sides: Wrexham 41%, the draw 28%, West Bromwich Albion 31%. MegaPari's 2.38 on Wrexham is shorter than our fair price of 2.46: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegaPari
Wrexham to win 41% 2.46 2.38
Draw 28% 3.54 3.25
West Bromwich Albion to win 31% 3.22 2.87
Wrexham or draw 69% 1.45 –
Draw or West Bromwich Albion 59% 1.69 –
Wrexham or West Bromwich Albion 72% 1.39 –
Over 1.5 goals 73% 1.38 –
Over 2.5 goals 48% 2.07 –
Under 2.5 goals 52% 1.94 –
Under 3.5 goals 74% 1.35 –
Both teams to score: yes 52% 1.91 –
Both teams to score: no 48% 2.09 –

Odds: MegaPari, as of 7 October 2026, 22:36 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion

Expected goals are 1.4 for Wrexham and 1.1 for West Bromwich Albion, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 48%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.

Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 0-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-113.2%7.55
1-011.0%9.10
0-08.9%11.26
0-18.8%11.42
2-18.7%11.44

Form: Wrexham and West Bromwich Albion in their last five

Wrexham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. West Bromwich Albion have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Wrexham: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
19 Sep 2026Southampton (home)EFL Championship2-1W
11 Sep 2026West Ham (away)EFL Championship0-6L
8 Sep 2026Burnley (home)EFL Championship1-1D
5 Sep 2026Swansea City (away)EFL Championship0-0D
2 Sep 2026Millwall (away)EFL Championship3-0W

West Bromwich Albion: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Wolves (away)EFL Championship0-1L
12 Sep 2026Queens Park Rangers (home)EFL Championship1-1D
9 Sep 2026Derby County (away)EFL Championship1-0W
5 Sep 2026Watford (home)EFL Championship1-0W
2 Sep 2026Charlton Athletic (home)EFL Championship1-1D

Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Wrexham won none, West Bromwich Albion won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 3 April 2026, finished West Bromwich Albion 2–2 Wrexham.

DateMatchScore
3 Apr 2026West Bromwich Albion – WrexhamEFL Championship2-2
16 Aug 2025Wrexham – West Bromwich AlbionEFL Championship2-3

The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with MegaPari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

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