Sure wins today with big odds: the 5 odds accumulator, and what 20 odds really costs
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
"Sure wins today with big odds" is the phrase, and this page is the honest answer to it. The biggest slip our model builds is the 5 odds accumulator, assembled every day from the legs it rates at 70% or more, and that slip appears below for today and for the weekend with its combined probability printed beside it. The rest of the page is about the slips readers ask for and we do not build: 8 odds, 20 odds, the mega accumulator. No tip on this site is certain and any bet can lose; the longer the slip, the more often it does.
Today's 5 odds slip, built from the strongest legs
No matches meet our criteria for this day yet. The list refreshes four times a day.
Why the model stops at 5 odds
Total odds are the product of the legs, and so is the probability. The slip above typically has five or more legs, each with a chance of 70% or more, which puts its joint probability at around one in five. Push the target to 20 and the model would need nine or more legs of the same quality. Eight legs at 75% land together about one time in ten; at 70%, about one time in seventeen, and even those eight legs reach only about 17 at fair prices. The bookmaker's margin is taken on every single leg, so a 20 odds slip in the app usually carries a chance below one in twenty. Over a month of daily 20 odds slips the usual outcome is twenty-eight or more losses and a story about the one that nearly came in.
Reading a big price properly
Before you add a leg to a long slip, read its probability in our tables and ask whether you would take it as a single. If not, it does not belong in an accumulator either. The accumulator calculator multiplies the odds for you and shows the implied chance of the whole slip, which is the number to stare at before the stake goes in.
The legs with the highest probabilities sit on the banker of the day and highest-probability tips pages, and they carry short prices for a reason. A leg at 1.20 is an 83% chance at best; six of them make odds near 3, not 20.
The weekend's 5 odds accumulator
No matches meet our criteria for this day yet. The list refreshes four times a day.
Building a longer slip, if you still want one
Take legs from the day's tables rather than from memory: the over 1.5 prediction list for goals, the double chance prediction table for teams unlikely to lose, and the betting tips 1X2 list for outright winners. Write down the probability next to each leg, multiply them, and set the result against the total odds the app shows. If the product is one in twelve and the app pays 8, the price is poor; if it pays 15, the slip is at least fairly priced. Stake what a lottery ticket is worth to you and no more.
The "must win" idea
There is no such thing as a team that must win, only teams that usually do. Favourites lose to rotation before a cup tie, to an early red card, and to nothing at all on a strange afternoon. The model sees results and, where bookmaker odds are available, the market; it does not see team news, so check it for each leg before kick-off. Times in the tables are East Africa Time and convert to your local time automatically.
How the legs are chosen and how the slip is settled
Every leg comes from the Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model described on the methodology page, with goals markets calibrated so that a printed 70% is meant to land about seven times in ten. The slip is written to the log before the first match starts and settled from the 90-minute scores; it is a hit only if every leg wins, and a postponed leg is void and drops out of the slip. The single tips behind the legs sit on the track record page, hits and misses, with nothing removed. This site is for adults aged 18+; the responsible gambling page explains deposit and loss limits, and a losing run on big odds is exactly when to use them.
Tips settled over the last 30 days
Last 30 days
- Tips
- 23
- Won
- 19
- Lost
- 4
- Hit rate
- 83%
| Market | Tips | Won | Hit rate | Profit at listed odds (1 unit stakes) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 6 | 4 | 67% | -0.26 |
| Double chance | 6 | 6 | 100% | +0.28 |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals | 2 | 1 | 50% | -0.37 |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals | 8 | 8 | 100% | +1.52 |
| Both teams to score | 1 | 0 | 0% | -1.00 |
Every tip is logged before kick-off and settled automatically from the final score. Nothing is edited after the match.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is MegaPari.
Promo code: TIPSQUANT
Frequently asked questions
What are the biggest odds to win today?
Leaving aside single correct scores, the longest price on this site is the 5 odds accumulator, and it is the largest total the model will build from legs it rates at 70% or more. Bigger odds exist in every app, but they come from adding legs, and each added leg lowers the chance of the slip landing. The page explains the arithmetic.
Do you post 20 odds tips daily?
No. A slip that pays twenty times the stake at fair prices lands about one time in twenty, and after the bookmaker's margin on every leg it is less than that. We would be printing a slip that loses on nineteen days out of twenty, and the record page would show it. Readers who want to build one can use the calculator with legs from the day's tables.
Is 5 big odds the same as 5 sure odds?
On this site, yes: both phrases describe the daily accumulator built to total odds of 5. The 5 sure odds page carries today's slip and the 3 odds version; this page carries today's slip next to the weekend version and explains the longer slips readers ask about.
Which must win teams today have big odds?
None, because no team must win. A price of 1.30 is the bookmaker's way of saying roughly a 75% chance, and a 75% chance fails one time in four. The teams with the highest probabilities are on the banker and straight win pages, and even those lose.
Why not build an 8 odds accumulator as well?
Because the model's rule is the fewest legs at 70% or more that reach the target, and the longer the target the more legs it needs and the lower the joint probability. At 8 odds the slip would need six or more legs and would land roughly one time in eight. The calculator lets you build one and see that number before you stake.
What is a mega accumulator?
A slip with many legs, often ten or more, built to pay a very large multiple of the stake. The maths is unforgiving: ten legs at 80% each land together about one time in nine, and ten legs at 70% about one time in thirty-five. It is a lottery ticket priced in football, and should be staked like one.