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UEFA Conference League

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 15 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Brann

Lincoln Red Imps

Brann
80%Megapari 1.15
Draw
13%Megapari 8.75
Lincoln Red Imps
7%Megapari 18.50
  • Brann to win80% · fair 1.251.15Bet
  • Brann or draw93% · fair 1.081.01Bet
  • Over 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.231.07Bet
  • Over 2.5 goals64% · fair 1.561.34Bet

xG 2.6–0.8 · likeliest 2-0 (12%)

Brann host Lincoln Red Imps in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Brann (Bergen).

Who will win Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?

The model makes Brann clear favourites at 80%, with the draw at 13% and Lincoln Red Imps at 7%. Megapari's 1.15 on Brann is shorter than our fair price of 1.25: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Brann to win (80%), Brann or draw (93%), over 1.5 goals (81%) and over 2.5 goals (64%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Brann to win Tip 80% 1.25 1.15
Draw 13% 7.54 8.75
Lincoln Red Imps to win 7% 14.25 18.50
Brann or draw Tip 93% 1.08 1.01
Draw or Lincoln Red Imps 20% 4.93 5.75
Brann or Lincoln Red Imps 87% 1.15 1.08
Over 1.5 goals Tip 81% 1.23 1.07
Over 2.5 goals Tip 64% 1.56 1.34
Under 2.5 goals 36% 2.78 2.78
Under 3.5 goals 62% 1.62 1.88
Both teams to score: yes 49% 2.06 2.06
Both teams to score: no 51% 1.94 1.68

Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps

Goals are expected: 2.6 for Brann and 0.8 for Lincoln Red Imps, 3.3 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 12%, ahead of 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
2-011.6%8.65
3-09.9%10.09
2-19.0%11.06
1-08.7%11.49
3-17.8%12.90

Form: Brann and Lincoln Red Imps in their last five

Brann have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Lincoln Red Imps have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.

Brann: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Bodø/Glimt (home)Eliteserien2-1W
13 Sep 2026IK Start (away)Eliteserien0-2L
5 Sep 2026Lillestrom (home)Eliteserien1-2L
30 Aug 2026Sandefjord (away)Eliteserien0-0D
27 Aug 2026PAOK (home)UEFA Conference League3-2W

Lincoln Red Imps: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
27 Aug 2026Larne (away)UEFA Conference League3-0W
20 Aug 2026Larne (home)UEFA Conference League0-2L
13 Aug 2026Omonia (away)UEFA Europa League0-1L
6 Aug 2026Omonia (home)UEFA Europa League1-1D
28 Jul 2026Mjallby (home)UEFA Champions League0-0D

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps head to head

Brann and Lincoln Red Imps have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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