UEFA Conference League
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 15 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Brann host Lincoln Red Imps in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Brann (Bergen).
Who will win Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?
The model makes Brann clear favourites at 80%, with the draw at 13% and Lincoln Red Imps at 7%. Megapari's 1.15 on Brann is shorter than our fair price of 1.25: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Brann to win (80%), Brann or draw (93%), over 1.5 goals (81%) and over 2.5 goals (64%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brann to win Tip | 80% | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.54 | 8.75 |
| Lincoln Red Imps to win | 7% | 14.25 | 18.50 |
| Brann or draw Tip | 93% | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Draw or Lincoln Red Imps | 20% | 4.93 | 5.75 |
| Brann or Lincoln Red Imps | 87% | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 81% | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 64% | 1.56 | 1.34 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | 2.78 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.06 | 2.06 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.94 | 1.68 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps
Goals are expected: 2.6 for Brann and 0.8 for Lincoln Red Imps, 3.3 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-0 at 12%, ahead of 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 11.6% | 8.65 |
| 3-0 | 9.9% | 10.09 |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | 11.06 |
| 1-0 | 8.7% | 11.49 |
| 3-1 | 7.8% | 12.90 |
Form: Brann and Lincoln Red Imps in their last five
Brann have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Lincoln Red Imps have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Brann: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Bodø/Glimt (home)Eliteserien | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | IK Start (away)Eliteserien | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Lillestrom (home)Eliteserien | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Sandefjord (away)Eliteserien | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Aug 2026 | PAOK (home)UEFA Conference League | 3-2 | W |
Lincoln Red Imps: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | Larne (away)UEFA Conference League | 3-0 | W |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Larne (home)UEFA Conference League | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Omonia (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Omonia (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Mjallby (home)UEFA Champions League | 0-0 | D |
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps head to head
Brann and Lincoln Red Imps have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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