UEFA Europa League
Celje vs Omonia prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 15 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Celje
Omonia
- Celje
- 34%Megapari 2.47
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.47
- Omonia
- 39%Megapari 2.96
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.2–1.5 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Celje host Omonia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Zdezhele (Celje). Celje are 31st in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Omonia are 16th with 3.
Who will win Celje vs Omonia?
There is little to separate the sides: Celje 34%, the draw 27%, Omonia 39%. Megapari pays 2.96 on Omonia, more than our fair price of 2.60.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celje to win | 34% | 2.91 | 2.47 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | 3.47 |
| Omonia to win | 39% | 2.60 | 2.96 |
| Celje or draw | 61% | 1.63 | 1.43 |
| Draw or Omonia | 66% | 1.52 | 1.58 |
| Celje or Omonia | 73% | 1.37 | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | 2.01 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.80 | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.26 | 2.17 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Celje vs Omonia
Expected goals are 1.2 for Celje and 1.5 for Omonia, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Celje vs Omonia correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.5% | 8.00 |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | 10.46 |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | 10.94 |
| 0-2 | 7.6% | 13.09 |
| 1-0 | 7.4% | 13.50 |
Form: Celje and Omonia in their last five
Celje have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Omonia are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 9 goals scored and 2 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.
Celje: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | Leverkusen (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-2 | L |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Slovan Bratislava (home)UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Slovan Bratislava (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Ararat-Armenia (home)UEFA Champions League | 2-0 | W |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Ararat-Armenia (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
Omonia: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Krasava ENY (home)Cypriot First Division | 4-1 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Celta Vigo (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Apollon Limassol (home)Cypriot First Division | 0-0 | D |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Aris Limassol (away)Cypriot First Division | 4-1 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Omonia Aradippou (home)Cypriot First Division | 0-0 | D |
Celje vs Omonia head to head
Celje and Omonia have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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