UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo vs Juventus prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 15 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Celta Vigo
Juventus
- Celta Vigo
- 30%Megapari 3.56
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.58
- Juventus
- 42%Megapari 2.12
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.2–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Celta Vigo host Juventus in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Balaidos (Vigo). Celta Vigo are 25th in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Juventus are 1st with 3.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
There is little to separate the sides: Celta Vigo 30%, the draw 27%, Juventus 42%. Megapari's 2.12 on Juventus is shorter than our fair price of 2.37: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo to win | 30% | 3.28 | 3.56 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 | 3.58 |
| Juventus to win | 42% | 2.37 | 2.12 |
| Celta Vigo or draw | 58% | 1.73 | 1.77 |
| Draw or Juventus | 70% | 1.44 | 1.32 |
| Celta Vigo or Juventus | 73% | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | 1.89 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.88 | 1.76 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.13 | 1.97 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Celta Vigo vs Juventus
Expected goals are 1.2 for Celta Vigo and 1.3 for Juventus, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.
Celta Vigo vs Juventus correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.1% | 7.65 |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | 10.36 |
| 1-0 | 8.9% | 11.29 |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | 11.83 |
| 0-0 | 8.1% | 12.41 |
Form: Celta Vigo and Juventus in their last five
Celta Vigo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Juventus have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +8. The results cover every competition in our data.
Celta Vigo: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Racing de Santander (home)LaLiga | 5-0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Omonia (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Malaga (home)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Getafe (away)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Real Sociedad (away)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
Juventus: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Atalanta (home)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Sep 2026 | NEC (home)UEFA Europa League | 5-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | US Sassuolo (away)Serie A | 2-3 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | AC Milan (home)Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Parma (home)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
Celta Vigo vs Juventus head to head
Celta Vigo and Juventus have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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