LaLiga
Deportivo de A Coruna vs Levante UD prediction: LaLiga, Friday 16 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Deportivo de A Coruna
Levante UD
- Deportivo de A Coruna
- 44%Megapari 2.17
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.62
- Levante UD
- 29%Megapari 3.60
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.5–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Deportivo de A Coruna host Levante UD in LaLiga on Friday 16 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Riazor (La Coruna). Deportivo de A Coruna are 7th in the table with 10 points from 7 games; Levante UD are 17th with 5.
Who will win Deportivo de A Coruna vs Levante UD?
There is little to separate the sides: Deportivo de A Coruna 44%, the draw 27%, Levante UD 29%. Megapari's 2.17 on Deportivo de A Coruna is shorter than our fair price of 2.25: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo de A Coruna to win | 44% | 2.25 | 2.17 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 | 3.62 |
| Levante UD to win | 29% | 3.46 | 3.60 |
| Deportivo de A Coruna or draw | 71% | 1.41 | 1.34 |
| Draw or Levante UD | 56% | 1.80 | 1.77 |
| Deportivo de A Coruna or Levante UD | 73% | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 1.96 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.84 | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.19 | 2.02 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 9 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Deportivo de A Coruna vs Levante UD
Expected goals are 1.5 for Deportivo de A Coruna and 1.2 for Levante UD, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 51%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Deportivo de A Coruna vs Levante UD correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (9%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.4% | 8.03 |
| 1-0 | 9.2% | 10.82 |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | 11.03 |
| 0-1 | 7.4% | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 7.4% | 13.57 |
Form: Deportivo de A Coruna and Levante UD in their last five
Deportivo de A Coruna have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Levante UD have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Deportivo de A Coruna: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Real Betis (home)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Sevilla (home)LaLiga | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Getafe (away)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Villarreal (away)LaLiga | 3-2 | W |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Valencia (home)LaLiga | 3-1 | W |
Levante UD: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Villarreal (away)LaLiga | 1-3 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Barcelona (home)LaLiga | 2-4 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Malaga (away)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Real Betis (home)LaLiga | 5-2 | W |
| 24 Aug 2026 | CA Osasuna (away)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
Deportivo de A Coruna vs Levante UD head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Deportivo de A Coruna won none, Levante UD won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 25 January 2025, finished Deportivo de A Coruna 1–2 Levante UD.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | Deportivo de A Coruna – Levante UDLaLiga 2 | 1-2 |
| 24 Oct 2024 | Levante UD – Deportivo de A CorunaLaLiga 2 | 2-1 |
The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT