UEFA Europa League
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 15 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Dinamo Zagreb
Anderlecht
- Dinamo Zagreb
- 53%Megapari 1.91
- Draw
- 24%Megapari 3.75
- Anderlecht
- 24%Megapari 4.16
- Over 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.231.21Bet
xG 2.1–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (10%)
Dinamo Zagreb host Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Maksimir (Zagreb). Dinamo Zagreb are 19th in the table with 1 points from 1 games; Anderlecht are 23rd with 0.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
Dinamo Zagreb are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 24% for the draw and 24% for Anderlecht. Megapari's 1.91 on Dinamo Zagreb sits right on our fair price of 1.90.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (81%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb to win | 53% | 1.90 | 1.91 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.18 | 3.75 |
| Anderlecht to win | 24% | 4.25 | 4.16 |
| Dinamo Zagreb or draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.26 |
| Draw or Anderlecht | 47% | 2.11 | 1.95 |
| Dinamo Zagreb or Anderlecht | 76% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 81% | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 | 2.09 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.75 | 1.66 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.34 | 2.12 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht
Expected goals are 2.1 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.3 for Anderlecht, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 9.7% | 10.34 |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | 10.46 |
| 2-0 | 7.3% | 13.72 |
| 1-0 | 6.7% | 14.86 |
| 3-1 | 6.6% | 15.27 |
Form: Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht in their last five
Dinamo Zagreb have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Anderlecht have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Dinamo Zagreb: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | NK Lokomotiva (home)Croatian HNL | 3-2 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Osijek (away)Croatian HNL | 2-4 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | HNK Gorica (home)Croatian HNL | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | NK Istra (away)Croatian HNL | 2-2 | D |
Anderlecht: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Zulte Waregem (home)Belgian Pro League | 3-0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Lyon (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Mechelen (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Genk (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-0 | D |
| 3 Sep 2026 | KV Kortrijk (home)Belgian Pro League | 1-0 | W |
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht head to head
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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