Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln prediction: Bundesliga, Friday 16 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Eintracht Frankfurt host Köln in the Bundesliga on Friday 16 October, kick-off 21:30 EAT. The match is played at Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main). Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th in the table with 5 points from 4 games; Köln are 13th with 4.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln?
Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites, though not by much: 54% to win, 22% for the draw and 24% for Köln. Megapari pays 2.00 on Eintracht Frankfurt, more than our fair price of 1.85.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (83%), over 2.5 goals (66%) and both teams to score: yes (64%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt to win | 54% | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.63 | 4.30 |
| Köln to win | 24% | 4.10 | 3.52 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt or draw | 76% | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| Draw or Köln | 46% | 2.17 | 1.90 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt or Köln | 78% | 1.28 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 83% | 1.20 | 1.06 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 66% | 1.52 | 1.34 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | 2.93 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 64% | 1.56 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | 2.79 | 2.98 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 9 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln
Goals are expected: 2.3 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.3 for Köln, 3.6 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 64%.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-1 at 9%, ahead of 1-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 11 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 9.4% | 10.63 |
| 1-1 | 8.6% | 11.60 |
| 2-0 | 7.2% | 13.91 |
| 3-1 | 7.1% | 14.04 |
| 2-2 | 6.2% | 16.23 |
Form: Eintracht Frankfurt and Köln in their last five
Eintracht Frankfurt have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Köln have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -7. The results cover every competition in our data.
Eintracht Frankfurt: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Freiburg (home)Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Mainz (away)Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Augsburg (home)Bundesliga | 1-4 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Union Berlin (away)Bundesliga | 3-3 | D |
| 16 May 2026 | VfB Stuttgart (home)Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
Köln: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Hamburger SV (away)Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | SV Werder Bremen (home)Bundesliga | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Sep 2026 | VfB Stuttgart (away)Bundesliga | 1-4 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim (home)Bundesliga | 3-2 | W |
| 16 May 2026 | Bayern Munich (away)Bundesliga | 1-5 | L |
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln head to head
In their last three meetings in our data, Eintracht Frankfurt won 1, Köln won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 5 April 2026, finished Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 Köln.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt – KölnBundesliga | 2-2 |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Köln – Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | 3-4 |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Köln – Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | 2-0 |
The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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