Tanzanian Premier League
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Friday 16 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Fountain Gate
Pamba Jiji
- Fountain Gate
- 35%
- Draw
- 29%
- Pamba Jiji
- 36%
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.2–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)
Fountain Gate host Pamba Jiji in the Tanzanian Premier League on Friday 16 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. Fountain Gate are 15th in the table with 4 points from 6 games; Pamba Jiji are 14th with 4.
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji?
There is little to separate the sides: Fountain Gate 35%, the draw 29%, Pamba Jiji 36%. At 29% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fountain Gate to win | 35% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
| Pamba Jiji to win | 36% | 2.76 |
| Fountain Gate or draw | 64% | 1.57 |
| Draw or Pamba Jiji | 65% | 1.53 |
| Fountain Gate or Pamba Jiji | 71% | 1.41 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.05 |
Goals in Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji
Expected goals are 1.2 for Fountain Gate and 1.2 for Pamba Jiji, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 46%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 1-0 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.7% | 7.30 |
| 0-1 | 10.8% | 9.23 |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | 9.48 |
| 0-0 | 10.1% | 9.92 |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | 12.77 |
Form: Fountain Gate and Pamba Jiji in their last five
Fountain Gate have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Pamba Jiji have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Fountain Gate: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Kagera Sugar (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Young Africans (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Mbeya City (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Namungo (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Mashujaa (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-0 | W |
Pamba Jiji: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | Geita Gold (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 4-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | TRA United (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | JKT Tanzania (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-3 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Young Africans (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Azam (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Fountain Gate won none, Pamba Jiji won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 30 April 2026, finished Fountain Gate 1–2 Pamba Jiji.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | Fountain Gate – Pamba JijiTanzanian Premier League | 1-2 |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Pamba Jiji – Fountain GateTanzanian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 8 Apr 2025 | Pamba Jiji – Fountain GateTanzanian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 5 Nov 2024 | Fountain Gate – Pamba JijiTanzanian Premier League | 1-3 |
The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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