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Tanzanian Premier League

Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Friday 16 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Fountain Gate

Pamba Jiji

Fountain Gate
35%
Draw
29%
Pamba Jiji
36%

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

xG 1.2–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)

Fountain Gate host Pamba Jiji in the Tanzanian Premier League on Friday 16 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. Fountain Gate are 15th in the table with 4 points from 6 games; Pamba Jiji are 14th with 4.

Who will win Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji?

There is little to separate the sides: Fountain Gate 35%, the draw 29%, Pamba Jiji 36%. At 29% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

BetProbabilityFair odds
Fountain Gate to win 35% 2.88
Draw 29% 3.44
Pamba Jiji to win 36% 2.76
Fountain Gate or draw 64% 1.57
Draw or Pamba Jiji 65% 1.53
Fountain Gate or Pamba Jiji 71% 1.41
Over 1.5 goals 71% 1.41
Over 2.5 goals 46% 2.16
Under 2.5 goals 54% 1.86
Under 3.5 goals 76% 1.32
Both teams to score: yes 51% 1.95
Both teams to score: no 49% 2.05

Goals in Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji

Expected goals are 1.2 for Fountain Gate and 1.2 for Pamba Jiji, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 46%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.

Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 1-0 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-113.7%7.30
0-110.8%9.23
1-010.5%9.48
0-010.1%9.92
1-27.8%12.77

Form: Fountain Gate and Pamba Jiji in their last five

Fountain Gate have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Pamba Jiji have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Fountain Gate: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
13 Sep 2026Kagera Sugar (away)Tanzanian Premier League1-1D
31 Aug 2026Young Africans (home)Tanzanian Premier League0-2L
28 Aug 2026Mbeya City (home)Tanzanian Premier League0-2L
25 Aug 2026Namungo (away)Tanzanian Premier League0-1L
18 Aug 2026Mashujaa (home)Tanzanian Premier League1-0W

Pamba Jiji: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
8 Oct 2026Geita Gold (home)Tanzanian Premier League4-0W
13 Sep 2026TRA United (home)Tanzanian Premier League1-3L
5 Sep 2026JKT Tanzania (away)Tanzanian Premier League0-3L
28 Aug 2026Young Africans (away)Tanzanian Premier League0-2L
23 Aug 2026Azam (away)Tanzanian Premier League1-2L

Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Fountain Gate won none, Pamba Jiji won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 30 April 2026, finished Fountain Gate 1–2 Pamba Jiji.

DateMatchScore
30 Apr 2026Fountain Gate – Pamba JijiTanzanian Premier League1-2
23 Nov 2025Pamba Jiji – Fountain GateTanzanian Premier League1-0
8 Apr 2025Pamba Jiji – Fountain GateTanzanian Premier League1-1
5 Nov 2024Fountain Gate – Pamba JijiTanzanian Premier League1-3

The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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