Tanzanian Premier League
Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Friday 16 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Geita Gold
Dodoma Jiji
- Geita Gold
- 56%
- Draw
- 26%
- Dodoma Jiji
- 18%
- Geita Gold to win56% · fair 1.78
- Geita Gold or draw82% · fair 1.22
xG 1.6–0.8 · likeliest 1-0 (14%)
Geita Gold host Dodoma Jiji in the Tanzanian Premier League on Friday 16 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. Geita Gold are 10th in the table with 7 points from 7 games; Dodoma Jiji are 8th with 10.
Who will win Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji?
Geita Gold are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 26% for the draw and 18% for Dodoma Jiji.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Geita Gold to win (56%) and Geita Gold or draw (82%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Geita Gold to win Tip | 56% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 |
| Dodoma Jiji to win | 18% | 5.54 |
| Geita Gold or draw Tip | 82% | 1.22 |
| Draw or Dodoma Jiji | 44% | 2.28 |
| Geita Gold or Dodoma Jiji | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.02 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.98 |
Goals in Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji
Expected goals are 1.6 for Geita Gold and 0.8 for Dodoma Jiji, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 47%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.
Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 14%, ahead of 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 14.0% | 7.13 |
| 1-1 | 12.0% | 8.31 |
| 2-0 | 11.7% | 8.58 |
| 0-0 | 9.5% | 10.56 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.75 |
Form: Geita Gold and Dodoma Jiji in their last five
Geita Gold have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Dodoma Jiji have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Geita Gold: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | Pamba Jiji (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-4 | L |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Young Africans (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Simba (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Azam (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Kagera Sugar (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 6-2 | W |
Dodoma Jiji: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | Namungo (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Mashujaa (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | TRA United (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Polisi Tanzania (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Mbeya City (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Geita Gold won 1, Dodoma Jiji won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 9 March 2024, finished Dodoma Jiji 0–1 Geita Gold.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2024 | Dodoma Jiji – Geita GoldTanzanian Premier League | 0-1 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Geita Gold – Dodoma JijiTanzanian Premier League | 2-2 |
The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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