Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars prediction: Zambia Super League, Saturday 10 October

Kabwe Warriors host Mutondo Stars in the Zambia Super League on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT.

Who will win Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars?

Kabwe Warriors are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 31% for the draw and 18% for Mutondo Stars. Megapari's 1.78 on Kabwe Warriors is shorter than our fair price of 1.94: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Kabwe Warriors or draw (82%), under 2.5 goals (65%) and under 3.5 goals (84%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 9 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.2 and 0.6, and under 2.5 goals at 65%. Mutondo Stars may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 40%.

Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-0 at 20%, ahead of 0-0 (17%) and 2-0 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.

Form: Kabwe Warriors and Mutondo Stars in their last five

Kabwe Warriors have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Mutondo Stars have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.

Kabwe Warriors: last five matches

Mutondo Stars: last five matches

Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Kabwe Warriors won 3, Mutondo Stars won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2026, finished Kabwe Warriors 1–0 Mutondo Stars.

The rest of the Zambia Super League is on our Zambia Super League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.