UEFA Conference League
KuPS vs Trabzonspor prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 15 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
KuPS
Trabzonspor
- KuPS
- 26%Megapari 6.48
- Draw
- 26%Megapari 4.41
- Trabzonspor
- 47%Megapari 1.53
- Under 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.261.37Bet
xG 1.1–1.0 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)
KuPS host Trabzonspor in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Tammelan (Tampere).
Who will win KuPS vs Trabzonspor?
Trabzonspor are favourites, though not by much: 47% to win, 26% for the draw and 26% for KuPS. Megapari's 1.53 on Trabzonspor is shorter than our fair price of 2.11: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (79%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS to win | 26% | 3.80 | 6.48 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | 4.41 |
| Trabzonspor to win | 47% | 2.11 | 1.53 |
| KuPS or draw | 53% | 1.90 | 2.59 |
| Draw or Trabzonspor | 74% | 1.36 | 1.12 |
| KuPS or Trabzonspor | 74% | 1.36 | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 2.15 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.26 | 1.37 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 2.00 | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in KuPS vs Trabzonspor
Expected goals are 1.1 for KuPS and 1.0 for Trabzonspor, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 50%.
KuPS vs Trabzonspor correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 (13%) and 0-0 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 14.0% | 7.15 |
| 1-0 | 13.0% | 7.67 |
| 0-0 | 12.7% | 7.87 |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | 8.68 |
| 2-0 | 7.6% | 13.21 |
Form: KuPS and Trabzonspor in their last five
KuPS have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Trabzonspor have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.
KuPS: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | Oulu (home)Veikkausliiga | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Vaasan Palloseura (away)Veikkausliiga | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | HJK (home)Veikkausliiga | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Gnistan (away)Veikkausliiga | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Inter Turku (away)Veikkausliiga | 0-1 | L |
Trabzonspor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Galatasaray (home)Süper Lig | 4-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Konyaspor (away)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Genclerbirligi (home)Süper Lig | 5-0 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Amedspor (away)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Ferencvarosi (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-4 | L |
KuPS vs Trabzonspor head to head
KuPS and Trabzonspor have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Trabzonspor has drifted from 1.51 to 1.53 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| KuPS to win | 6.58 | 6.48 ↓ |
| Draw | 4.46 | 4.41 ↓ |
| Trabzonspor to win | 1.51 | 1.53 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.82 | 1.81 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 1.88 | 1.90 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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