UEFA Europa League
Lyon vs Crystal Palace prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 15 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Lyon
Crystal Palace
- Lyon
- 47%Megapari 2.21
- Draw
- 26%Megapari 3.71
- Crystal Palace
- 27%Megapari 3.23
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.6–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Lyon host Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon). Lyon are 11th in the table with 3 points from 1 games; Crystal Palace are 2nd with 3.
Who will win Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Lyon are favourites, though not by much: 47% to win, 26% for the draw and 27% for Crystal Palace. Megapari pays 2.21 on Lyon, more than our fair price of 2.13.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon to win | 47% | 2.13 | 2.21 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | 3.71 |
| Crystal Palace to win | 27% | 3.66 | 3.23 |
| Lyon or draw | 73% | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Draw or Crystal Palace | 53% | 1.88 | 1.71 |
| Lyon or Crystal Palace | 74% | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | 2.27 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.45 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.74 | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.34 | 2.37 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Lyon vs Crystal Palace
Expected goals are 1.6 for Lyon and 1.1 for Crystal Palace, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.
Lyon vs Crystal Palace correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.1% | 8.26 |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | 9.77 |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | 10.44 |
| 2-0 | 8.8% | 11.34 |
| 0-0 | 7.0% | 14.35 |
Form: Lyon and Crystal Palace in their last five
Lyon are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 10 goals scored and 3 conceded. Crystal Palace have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Lyon: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Rennes (home)Ligue 1 | 4-0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Anderlecht (away)UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Paris (away)Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| 4 Sep 2026 | AJ Auxerre (home)Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Le Havre (home)Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
Crystal Palace: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Leeds (away)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Lech Poznań (home)UEFA Europa League | 4-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Ipswich Town (home)Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Fulham (away)Premier League | 3-2 | W |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Man City (home)Premier League | 1-4 | L |
Lyon vs Crystal Palace head to head
Lyon and Crystal Palace have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT