Medeama vs Heart of Lions prediction: Ghana Premier League, Sunday 11 October

Medeama host Heart of Lions in the Ghana Premier League on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. Medeama are 1st in the table with 11 points from 5 games; Heart of Lions are 7th with 8.

Who will win Medeama vs Heart of Lions?

The model makes Medeama clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 23% and Heart of Lions at 13%. Megapari's 1.51 on Medeama sits right on our fair price of 1.55.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Medeama to win (64%) and Medeama or draw (87%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 05:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Medeama vs Heart of Lions

Expected goals are 2.0 for Medeama and 0.6 for Heart of Lions, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 44%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 48%.

Medeama vs Heart of Lions correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 (14%) and 1-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Medeama and Heart of Lions in their last five

Medeama are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Heart of Lions have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Medeama: last five matches

Heart of Lions: last five matches

Medeama vs Heart of Lions head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Medeama won 2, Heart of Lions won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Medeama 5–2 Heart of Lions.

The rest of the Ghana Premier League is on our Ghana Premier League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.