UEFA Conference League
Mjallby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 15 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Mjallby host Inter Club d'Escaldes in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Olympia (Helsingborg).
Who will win Mjallby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Mjallby are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 24% for the draw and 20% for Inter Club d'Escaldes. Megapari's 1.34 on Mjallby is shorter than our fair price of 1.79: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Mjallby to win (56%), Mjallby or draw (80%) and under 3.5 goals (78%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mjallby to win Tip | 56% | 1.79 | 1.34 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 | 5.31 |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes to win | 20% | 5.01 | 9.75 |
| Mjallby or draw Tip | 80% | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Draw or Inter Club d'Escaldes | 44% | 2.27 | 3.36 |
| Mjallby or Inter Club d'Escaldes | 76% | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 2.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | 2.08 | 1.99 |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | 1.92 | 1.73 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Mjallby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
Expected goals are 1.2 for Mjallby and 1.0 for Inter Club d'Escaldes, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 50%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 48%.
Mjallby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 (13%) and 0-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.9% | 7.22 |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | 7.78 |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | 8.48 |
| 0-1 | 10.7% | 9.38 |
| 2-0 | 8.0% | 12.55 |
Form: Mjallby and Inter Club d'Escaldes in their last five
Mjallby have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. Inter Club d'Escaldes are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 10 goals scored and 3 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.
Mjallby: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | GAIS (home)Allsvenskan | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Sep 2026 | AIK (away)Allsvenskan | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Sep 2026 | BK Häcken (away)Allsvenskan | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Goteborg (home)Allsvenskan | 1-4 | L |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Djurgårdens IF (home)Allsvenskan | 0-2 | L |
Inter Club d'Escaldes: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | Drita (home)UEFA Conference League | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Drita (away)UEFA Conference League | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Flora (away)UEFA Conference League | 4-0 | W |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Flora (home)UEFA Conference League | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Jul 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps (home)UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
Mjallby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes head to head
Mjallby and Inter Club d'Escaldes have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Mjallby has shortened from 1.35 to 1.34 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mjallby to win | 1.35 | 1.34 ↓ |
| Draw | 5.24 | 5.31 ↑ |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes to win | 9.40 | 9.75 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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