Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 15 October

Panathinaikos host Borac Banja Luka in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Olympiako Spyros Louis (Athina).

Who will win Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka?

The model makes Panathinaikos clear favourites at 68%, with the draw at 19% and Borac Banja Luka at 13%. Megapari's 1.31 on Panathinaikos is shorter than our fair price of 1.48: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Panathinaikos to win (68%), Panathinaikos or draw (87%) and over 1.5 goals (78%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka

Expected goals are 2.0 for Panathinaikos and 1.0 for Borac Banja Luka, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 58%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 10%, ahead of 1-1 (10%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka in their last five

Panathinaikos have won all of their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 2. Borac Banja Luka are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 12 goals scored and 7 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

Panathinaikos: last five matches

Borac Banja Luka: last five matches

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka head to head

The two have met once in our data: on 3 October 2024, Borac Banja Luka 1–1 Panathinaikos.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Panathinaikos has drifted from 1.31 to 1.31 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.61 to 1.62, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.