Posta Rangers vs Shabana prediction: Kenyan Premier League, Saturday 10 October

Posta Rangers host Shabana in the Kenyan Premier League on Saturday 10 October, kick-off 15:00 EAT. The match is played at Wanguru (Wanguru).

Who will win Posta Rangers vs Shabana?

There is little to separate the sides: Posta Rangers 29%, the draw 31%, Shabana 40%. At 31% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.26 on Shabana is shorter than our fair price of 2.50: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (78%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Posta Rangers vs Shabana

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.0 and 1.2, and under 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 46%.

Posta Rangers vs Shabana correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (13%) and 0-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Posta Rangers and Shabana in their last five

Posta Rangers have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Shabana have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Posta Rangers: last five matches

Shabana: last five matches

Posta Rangers vs Shabana head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Posta Rangers won 3, Shabana won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 14 February 2026, finished Posta Rangers 0–2 Shabana.

The rest of the Kenyan Premier League is on our FKF Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.