Rennes vs OFI Crete prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 15 October

Rennes host OFI Crete in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Roazhon Park (Rennes). Rennes are 18th in the table with 1 points from 1 games; OFI Crete are 9th with 3.

Who will win Rennes vs OFI Crete?

The model makes Rennes clear favourites at 73%, with the draw at 16% and OFI Crete at 10%. Megapari's 1.29 on Rennes is shorter than our fair price of 1.36: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Rennes to win (73%), Rennes or draw (90%), over 1.5 goals (84%) and over 2.5 goals (63%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Rennes vs OFI Crete

Goals are expected: 2.7 for Rennes and 1.1 for OFI Crete, 3.8 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.

Rennes vs OFI Crete correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-1 at 9%, ahead of 2-0 (8%) and 3-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 11 matches like this one.

Form: Rennes and OFI Crete in their last five

Rennes have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. OFI Crete have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Rennes: last five matches

OFI Crete: last five matches

Rennes vs OFI Crete head to head

Rennes and OFI Crete have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Rennes has shortened from 1.35 to 1.29 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.62 to 1.50, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.