S.C.U. Torreense vs Sunderland prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 15 October

S.C.U. Torreense host Sunderland in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Magalhaes Pessoa (Leiria). S.C.U. Torreense are 12th in the table with 3 points from 1 games; Sunderland are 15th with 3.

Who will win S.C.U. Torreense vs Sunderland?

Sunderland are favourites, though not by much: 55% to win, 24% for the draw and 21% for S.C.U. Torreense. Megapari's 1.43 on Sunderland is shorter than our fair price of 1.83: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (77%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in S.C.U. Torreense vs Sunderland

Expected goals are 1.0 for S.C.U. Torreense and 1.3 for Sunderland, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.

S.C.U. Torreense vs Sunderland correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (12%) and 0-0 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: S.C.U. Torreense and Sunderland in their last five

S.C.U. Torreense have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Sunderland have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.

S.C.U. Torreense: last five matches

Sunderland: last five matches

S.C.U. Torreense vs Sunderland head to head

S.C.U. Torreense and Sunderland have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Sunderland has shortened from 1.46 to 1.43 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.44 to 1.43, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.