UEFA Conference League
Sint-Truidense vs Iberia prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 15 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Sint-Truidense host Iberia in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Stayen (Sint-Truiden).
Who will win Sint-Truidense vs Iberia?
The model makes Sint-Truidense clear favourites at 77%, with the draw at 15% and Iberia at 8%. Megapari pays 1.39 on Sint-Truidense, more than our fair price of 1.30.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Sint-Truidense to win (77%), Sint-Truidense or draw (92%), over 1.5 goals (85%) and over 2.5 goals (62%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sint-Truidense to win Tip | 77% | 1.30 | 1.39 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.59 | 4.94 |
| Iberia to win | 8% | 12.50 | 8.90 |
| Sint-Truidense or draw Tip | 92% | 1.09 | 1.07 |
| Draw or Iberia | 23% | 4.32 | 3.12 |
| Sint-Truidense or Iberia | 85% | 1.18 | 1.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 85% | 1.18 | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 62% | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 | 2.28 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | 1.45 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 1.99 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 2.01 | 1.82 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Sint-Truidense vs Iberia
Goals are expected: 3.1 for Sint-Truidense and 0.7 for Iberia, 3.8 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 50%.
Sint-Truidense vs Iberia correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 3-0 at 11%, ahead of 2-0 (11%) and 4-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | 11.0% | 9.10 |
| 2-0 | 10.6% | 9.45 |
| 4-0 | 8.6% | 11.67 |
| 3-1 | 7.8% | 12.80 |
| 2-1 | 7.5% | 13.32 |
Form: Sint-Truidense and Iberia in their last five
Sint-Truidense have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Iberia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Sint-Truidense: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | K.V.C. Westerlo (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | S.K. Beveren (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | RAAL La Louviere (home)Belgian Pro League | 4-0 | W |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-3 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Antwerp (away)Belgian Pro League | 4-1 | W |
Iberia: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | Jagiellonia Białystok (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Jagiellonia Białystok (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-4 | L |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Larne (home)UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Larne (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Slovan Bratislava (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
Sint-Truidense vs Iberia head to head
Sint-Truidense and Iberia have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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