Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 15 October

Universitatea Craiova host Getafe in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova).

Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe?

There is little to separate the sides: Universitatea Craiova 41%, the draw 30%, Getafe 29%. At 30% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari pays 3.11 on Universitatea Craiova, more than our fair price of 2.45.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (82%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 8 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.2 and 0.6, and under 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 47%.

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-0 at 18%, ahead of 0-0 (16%) and 1-1 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.

Form: Universitatea Craiova and Getafe in their last five

Universitatea Craiova have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +9. Getafe have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Universitatea Craiova: last five matches

Getafe: last five matches

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe head to head

Universitatea Craiova and Getafe have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Universitatea Craiova has drifted from 3.09 to 3.11 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.36 to 2.32, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.