Uganda Premier League
URA vs Entebbe UPPC prediction: Uganda Premier League, Thursday 15 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
URA
Entebbe UPPC
- URA
- 33%
- Draw
- 37%
- Entebbe UPPC
- 30%
- Draw37% · fair 2.72
- Under 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.48
- Under 3.5 goals87% · fair 1.15
xG 0.8–0.8 · likeliest 0-0 (21%)
URA host Entebbe UPPC in the Uganda Premier League on Thursday 15 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. URA are 14th in the table with 3 points from 3 games; Entebbe UPPC are 6th with 7.
Who will win URA vs Entebbe UPPC?
There is little to separate the sides: URA 33%, the draw 37%, Entebbe UPPC 30%. At 37% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (37%), under 2.5 goals (68%) and under 3.5 goals (87%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| URA to win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw Tip | 37% | 2.72 |
| Entebbe UPPC to win | 30% | 3.34 |
| URA or draw | 70% | 1.43 |
| Draw or Entebbe UPPC | 67% | 1.50 |
| URA or Entebbe UPPC | 63% | 1.58 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | 2.36 |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | 1.74 |
Goals in URA vs Entebbe UPPC
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 0.8 and 0.8, and under 2.5 goals at 68%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 42%.
URA vs Entebbe UPPC correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-0 at 21%, ahead of 1-0 (16%) and 0-1 (15%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 21.3% | 4.70 |
| 1-0 | 16.4% | 6.09 |
| 0-1 | 15.2% | 6.59 |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | 7.51 |
| 2-0 | 6.9% | 14.47 |
Form: URA and Entebbe UPPC in their last five
URA have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Entebbe UPPC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. The results cover every competition in our data.
URA: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | NEC (away)Uganda Premier League | 1-4 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Villa (home)Uganda Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Maroons (away)Uganda Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 22 May 2026 | Buhimba United Saints (away)Uganda Premier League | 3-0 | W |
| 19 May 2026 | KCCA (home)Uganda Premier League | 0-0 | D |
Entebbe UPPC: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | Mbarara City (away)Uganda Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Lugazi (home)Uganda Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | UPDF (home)Uganda Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Vipers (away)Uganda Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 23 May 2026 | BUL (home)Uganda Premier League | 4-0 | W |
URA vs Entebbe UPPC head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, URA won none, Entebbe UPPC won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 7 March 2026, finished Entebbe UPPC 0–0 URA.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Entebbe UPPC – URAUganda Premier League | 0-0 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | URA – Entebbe UPPCUganda Premier League | 0-1 |
The rest of the Uganda Premier League is on our Uganda Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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