ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen prediction: Eredivisie, Saturday 24 October

ADO Den Haag host Heerenveen in Eredivisie on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Cars Jeans (The Hague). ADO Den Haag are 16th in the table with 6 points from 9 games; Heerenveen are 8th with 12.

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?

There is little to separate the sides: ADO Den Haag 31%, the draw 26%, Heerenveen 43%. Megapari's 2.10 on Heerenveen is shorter than our fair price of 2.31: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (60%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen

Goals are expected: 1.3 for ADO Den Haag and 1.5 for Heerenveen, 2.8 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.

ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 (9%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: ADO Den Haag and Heerenveen in their last five

ADO Den Haag have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Heerenveen have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. The results cover every competition in our data.

ADO Den Haag: last five matches

Heerenveen: last five matches

ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen head to head

ADO Den Haag and Heerenveen have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Heerenveen has drifted from 2.08 to 2.10 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.43 to 1.42, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.