ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction: Eredivisie, Saturday 17 October

ADO Den Haag host PSV Eindhoven in Eredivisie on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 17:30 EAT. The match is played at Bingoal (Den Haag). ADO Den Haag are 17th in the table with 2 points from 7 games; PSV Eindhoven are 2nd with 19.

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

The model makes PSV Eindhoven clear favourites at 74%, with the draw at 15% and ADO Den Haag at 11%. Megapari's 1.25 on PSV Eindhoven is shorter than our fair price of 1.34: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Five markets clear our thresholds for this match: PSV Eindhoven to win (74%), draw or PSV Eindhoven (89%), over 1.5 goals (85%), over 2.5 goals (72%) and both teams to score: yes (61%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven

Goals are expected: 1.1 for ADO Den Haag and 2.8 for PSV Eindhoven, 3.9 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 72%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 61%.

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-2 at 9%, ahead of 1-3 (8%) and 0-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 11 matches like this one.

Form: ADO Den Haag and PSV Eindhoven in their last five

ADO Den Haag have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 6 in that run. PSV Eindhoven have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +6. The results cover every competition in our data.

ADO Den Haag: last five matches

PSV Eindhoven: last five matches

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven head to head

ADO Den Haag and PSV Eindhoven have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.