Ligue 1
Angers SCO vs Lorient prediction: Ligue 1, Sunday 25 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Angers SCO
Lorient
- Angers SCO
- 31%Megapari 2.69
- Draw
- 29%Megapari 3.40
- Lorient
- 40%Megapari 2.85
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.0–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Angers SCO host Lorient in Ligue 1 on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 19:15 EAT. The match is played at Stade Raymond Kopa (Angers). Angers SCO are 15th in the table with 7 points from 7 games; Lorient are 7th with 11.
Who will win Angers SCO vs Lorient?
There is little to separate the sides: Angers SCO 31%, the draw 29%, Lorient 40%. Megapari pays 2.85 on Lorient, more than our fair price of 2.50.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO to win | 31% | 3.20 | 2.69 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | 3.40 |
| Lorient to win | 40% | 2.50 | 2.85 |
| Angers SCO or draw | 60% | 1.67 | 1.48 |
| Draw or Lorient | 69% | 1.45 | 1.53 |
| Angers SCO or Lorient | 71% | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.79 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.96 | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.04 | 1.91 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Angers SCO vs Lorient
Expected goals are 1.0 for Angers SCO and 1.4 for Lorient, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 46%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Angers SCO vs Lorient correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (13%) and 0-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.3% | 7.52 |
| 0-1 | 12.7% | 7.87 |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | 9.85 |
| 0-2 | 9.1% | 11.03 |
| 1-0 | 8.8% | 11.35 |
Form: Angers SCO and Lorient in their last five
Angers SCO have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. Lorient have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Angers SCO: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Marseille (home)Ligue 1 | 2-5 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Brest (away)Ligue 1 | 1-5 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Troyes (home)Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Le Havre (away)Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Rennes (home)Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
Lorient: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Monaco (home)Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Paris (home)Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Le Mans (away)Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Toulouse (home)Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Lens (away)Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
Angers SCO vs Lorient head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Angers SCO won 1, Lorient won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 15 February 2026, finished Lorient 2–0 Angers SCO.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Lorient – Angers SCOLigue 1 | 2-0 |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Angers SCO – LorientLigue 1 | 2-0 |
The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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