Angers SCO vs Marseille prediction: Ligue 1, Sunday 18 October

Angers SCO host Marseille in Ligue 1 on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Stade Raymond Kopa (Angers). Angers SCO are 11th in the table with 7 points from 6 games; Marseille are 17th with 3.

Who will win Angers SCO vs Marseille?

Marseille are favourites, though not by much: 48% to win, 26% for the draw and 27% for Angers SCO. Megapari pays 2.28 on Marseille, more than our fair price of 2.10.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Angers SCO vs Marseille

Expected goals are 1.0 for Angers SCO and 1.7 for Marseille, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 58%.

Angers SCO vs Marseille correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Angers SCO and Marseille in their last five

Angers SCO have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Marseille have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 4 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

Angers SCO: last five matches

Marseille: last five matches

Angers SCO vs Marseille head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Angers SCO won none, Marseille won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 17 January 2026, finished Angers SCO 2–5 Marseille.

The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.