Belgian Pro League
Antwerp vs R. Charleroi prediction: Belgian Pro League, Saturday 24 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Antwerp
R. Charleroi
- Antwerp
- 28%Megapari 3.72
- Draw
- 26%Megapari 3.92
- R. Charleroi
- 46%Megapari 1.89
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.2–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Antwerp host R. Charleroi in the Belgian Pro League on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Bosuilstadion (Antwerpen). Antwerp are 13th in the table with 7 points from 8 games; R. Charleroi are 3rd with 21.
Who will win Antwerp vs R. Charleroi?
R. Charleroi are favourites, though not by much: 46% to win, 26% for the draw and 28% for Antwerp. Megapari's 1.89 on R. Charleroi is shorter than our fair price of 2.19: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp to win | 28% | 3.52 | 3.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | 3.92 |
| R. Charleroi to win | 46% | 2.19 | 1.89 |
| Antwerp or draw | 54% | 1.84 | 1.90 |
| Draw or R. Charleroi | 72% | 1.40 | 1.27 |
| Antwerp or R. Charleroi | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | 2.25 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.43 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.27 | 2.28 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Antwerp vs R. Charleroi
Expected goals are 1.2 for Antwerp and 1.4 for R. Charleroi, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Antwerp vs R. Charleroi correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.2% | 7.58 |
| 0-1 | 10.4% | 9.57 |
| 1-0 | 8.8% | 11.38 |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | 11.56 |
| 0-0 | 8.5% | 11.71 |
Form: Antwerp and R. Charleroi in their last five
Antwerp have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. R. Charleroi have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Antwerp: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | K.V.C. Westerlo (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-5 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Club Brugge (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Standard Liege (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Sint-Truidense (home)Belgian Pro League | 1-4 | L |
R. Charleroi: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Standard Liege (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Cercle Brugge (home)Belgian Pro League | 3-2 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Zulte Waregem (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise (home)Belgian Pro League | 2-3 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | KV Kortrijk (away)Belgian Pro League | 3-1 | W |
Antwerp vs R. Charleroi head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Antwerp won none, R. Charleroi won 5 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Antwerp 0–1 R. Charleroi.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Antwerp – R. CharleroiBelgian Pro League | 0-1 |
| 10 Apr 2026 | R. Charleroi – AntwerpBelgian Pro League | 2-1 |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Antwerp – R. CharleroiBelgian Pro League | 0-2 |
| 17 Aug 2025 | R. Charleroi – AntwerpBelgian Pro League | 1-1 |
| 29 May 2025 | Antwerp – R. CharleroiBelgian Pro League | 1-2 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | Antwerp – R. CharleroiBelgian Pro League | 1-3 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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