Süper Lig
Arca Corum vs Caykur Rizespor prediction: Süper Lig, Friday 16 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Arca Corum
Caykur Rizespor
- Arca Corum
- 52%Megapari 2.13
- Draw
- 24%Megapari 3.69
- Caykur Rizespor
- 24%Megapari 3.44
- Over 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.28Bet 1.21
xG 2.0–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (11%)
Arca Corum host Caykur Rizespor in the Süper Lig on Friday 16 October, kick-off 20:00 EAT. Arca Corum are 14th in the table with 7 points from 6 games; Caykur Rizespor are 9th with 10.
Who will win Arca Corum vs Caykur Rizespor?
Arca Corum are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 24% for the draw and 24% for Caykur Rizespor. Megapari pays 2.13 on Arca Corum, more than our fair price of 1.93.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (78%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arca Corum to win | 52% | 1.93 | 2.13 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 | 3.69 |
| Caykur Rizespor to win | 24% | 4.20 | 3.44 |
| Arca Corum or draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.34 |
| Draw or Caykur Rizespor | 48% | 2.07 | 1.76 |
| Arca Corum or Caykur Rizespor | 76% | 1.32 | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | 2.06 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.34 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.79 | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.26 | 2.13 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Arca Corum vs Caykur Rizespor
Expected goals are 2.0 for Arca Corum and 1.1 for Caykur Rizespor, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 54%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Arca Corum vs Caykur Rizespor correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.7% | 9.38 |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | 10.06 |
| 2-0 | 9.4% | 10.62 |
| 1-0 | 9.1% | 10.96 |
| 3-1 | 6.5% | 15.41 |
Form: Arca Corum and Caykur Rizespor in their last five
Arca Corum have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Caykur Rizespor have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Arca Corum: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Alanyaspor (home)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Samsunspor (away)Süper Lig | 5-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Eyupspor (home)Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Beşiktaş (away)Süper Lig | 2-6 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Kasimpasa (home)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
Caykur Rizespor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Fenerbahçe (home)Süper Lig | 0-3 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Goztepe (away)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Eyupspor (away)Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Alanyaspor (home)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Gaziantep (away)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
Arca Corum vs Caykur Rizespor head to head
Arca Corum and Caykur Rizespor have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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