Nigeria Premier Football League
Barau vs Rangers International prediction: Nigeria Premier Football League, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Barau host Rangers International in the Nigeria Premier Football League on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Sani Abacha (Kano). Barau are 4th in the table with 12 points from 7 games; Rangers International are 1st with 16.
Who will win Barau vs Rangers International?
Barau are favourites, though not by much: 50% to win, 31% for the draw and 19% for Rangers International. Megapari's 1.77 on Barau is shorter than our fair price of 2.00: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Barau or draw (81%), under 2.5 goals (64%) and under 3.5 goals (85%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barau to win | 50% | 2.00 | 1.77 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 | 3.12 |
| Rangers International to win | 19% | 5.21 | 4.46 |
| Barau or draw Tip | 81% | 1.24 | 1.12 |
| Draw or Rangers International | 50% | 2.00 | 1.82 |
| Barau or Rangers International | 69% | 1.45 | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 | 2.41 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 64% | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 85% | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | 2.36 | 2.18 |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | 1.73 | 1.58 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Barau vs Rangers International
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.1 and 0.6, and under 2.5 goals at 64%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 42%.
Barau vs Rangers International correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 20%, ahead of 0-0 (18%) and 1-1 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 20.0% | 5.01 |
| 0-0 | 18.4% | 5.44 |
| 1-1 | 12.3% | 8.14 |
| 2-0 | 11.7% | 8.55 |
| 0-1 | 9.9% | 10.14 |
Form: Barau and Rangers International in their last five
Barau have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Rangers International have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Barau: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | Bendel (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-4 | L |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Sporting Lagos (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Abia Warriors (home)Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Ikorodu City (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Ranchers Bees (home)Nigeria Premier Football League | 3-1 | W |
Rangers International: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | Abia Warriors (home)Nigeria Premier Football League | 3-1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Warri Wolves (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Ikorodu City (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-2 | L |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Ranchers Bees (home)Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Kun Khalifat (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 4-2 | W |
Barau vs Rangers International head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Barau won 1, Rangers International won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 5 April 2026, finished Rangers International 0–0 Barau.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Rangers International – BarauNigeria Premier Football League | 0-0 |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Barau – Rangers InternationalNigeria Premier Football League | 2-0 |
The rest of the Nigeria Premier Football League is on our NPFL page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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