UEFA Europa League
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 22 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Beşiktaş
Crystal Palace
- Beşiktaş
- 36%Megapari 2.92
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.50
- Crystal Palace
- 37%Megapari 2.48
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.4–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Beşiktaş host Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Tupras (Istanbul). Beşiktaş are 4th in the table with 6 points from 2 games; Crystal Palace are 15th with 3.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?
There is little to separate the sides: Beşiktaş 36%, the draw 27%, Crystal Palace 37%. Megapari's 2.48 on Crystal Palace is shorter than our fair price of 2.70: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş to win | 36% | 2.77 | 2.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | 3.50 |
| Crystal Palace to win | 37% | 2.70 | 2.48 |
| Beşiktaş or draw | 63% | 1.59 | 1.58 |
| Draw or Crystal Palace | 64% | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Beşiktaş or Crystal Palace | 73% | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | 2.13 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.39 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.75 | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.34 | 2.28 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 05:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace
Expected goals are 1.4 for Beşiktaş and 1.4 for Crystal Palace, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 54%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.4% | 8.06 |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | 11.64 |
| 1-0 | 8.3% | 12.00 |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | 12.39 |
| 0-1 | 7.8% | 12.82 |
Form: Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace in their last five
Beşiktaş have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +7. Crystal Palace have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Beşiktaş: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim (away)UEFA Europa League | 3-2 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Kocaelispor (home)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Amedspor (away)Süper Lig | 2-3 | L |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Marseille (home)UEFA Europa League | 4-1 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | BB Erzurumspor (home)Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
Crystal Palace: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Lyon (away)UEFA Europa League | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Nottingham Forest (home)Premier League | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Leeds (away)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Lech Poznań (home)UEFA Europa League | 4-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Ipswich Town (home)Premier League | 2-3 | L |
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace head to head
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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