EFL Championship
Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers
- Birmingham City
- 47%
- Draw
- 27%
- Queens Park Rangers
- 26%
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.5–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Birmingham City host Queens Park Rangers in the EFL Championship on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT.
Who will win Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Birmingham City are favourites, though not by much: 47% to win, 27% for the draw and 26% for Queens Park Rangers.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City to win | 47% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 |
| Queens Park Rangers to win | 26% | 3.84 |
| Birmingham City or draw | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw or Queens Park Rangers | 53% | 1.90 |
| Birmingham City or Queens Park Rangers | 73% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.12 |
Goals in Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers
Expected goals are 1.5 for Birmingham City and 1.1 for Queens Park Rangers, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 50%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.
Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 7.89 |
| 1-0 | 10.9% | 9.14 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.76 |
| 2-0 | 8.7% | 11.48 |
| 0-0 | 8.0% | 12.53 |
Form: Birmingham City and Queens Park Rangers in their last five
Birmingham City have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Queens Park Rangers have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Birmingham City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Middlesbrough (home)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Derby County (away)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Norwich City (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Wolves (home)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Southampton (home)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
Queens Park Rangers: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Preston North End (home)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | West Bromwich Albion (away)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Charlton Athletic (away)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Middlesbrough (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Cardiff City (home)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers head to head
In their last three meetings in our data, Birmingham City won 1, Queens Park Rangers won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 11 March 2026, finished Birmingham City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | Birmingham City – Queens Park RangersEFL Championship | 1-0 |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Queens Park Rangers – Birmingham CityEFL Championship | 2-1 |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Queens Park Rangers – Birmingham CityEFL Championship | 2-1 |
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT