EFL Championship
Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 24 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Blackburn Rovers
Wrexham
- Blackburn Rovers
- 37%Megapari 2.59
- Draw
- 29%Megapari 3.12
- Wrexham
- 34%Megapari 2.71
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.3–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Blackburn Rovers host Wrexham in the EFL Championship on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT.
Who will win Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham?
There is little to separate the sides: Blackburn Rovers 37%, the draw 29%, Wrexham 34%. Megapari's 2.59 on Blackburn Rovers is shorter than our fair price of 2.68: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers to win | 37% | 2.68 | 2.59 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | 3.12 |
| Wrexham to win | 34% | 2.96 | 2.71 |
| Blackburn Rovers or draw | 66% | 1.51 | 1.42 |
| Draw or Wrexham | 63% | 1.60 | 1.46 |
| Blackburn Rovers or Wrexham | 71% | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.15 | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | 1.68 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.93 | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.07 | 1.88 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham
Expected goals are 1.3 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.2 for Wrexham, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 47%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.
Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 0-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.3% | 7.53 |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | 9.83 |
| 0-1 | 9.2% | 10.86 |
| 0-0 | 8.6% | 11.57 |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | 11.92 |
Form: Blackburn Rovers and Wrexham in their last five
Blackburn Rovers have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Wrexham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Blackburn Rovers: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Millwall (home)EFL Championship | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United (home)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Preston North End (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City (away)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
Wrexham: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Southampton (home)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | West Ham (away)EFL Championship | 0-6 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Burnley (home)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Swansea City (away)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Millwall (away)EFL Championship | 3-0 | W |
Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Blackburn Rovers won none, Wrexham won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 1 January 2026, finished Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Wrexham.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Blackburn Rovers – WrexhamEFL Championship | 0-2 |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Wrexham – Blackburn RoversEFL Championship | 1-1 |
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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