Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 24 October

Borussia Dortmund host Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 19:30 EAT. The match is played at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the table with 14 points from 6 games; Eintracht Frankfurt are 11th with 8.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

The model makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites at 68%, with the draw at 17% and Eintracht Frankfurt at 14%. Megapari's 1.48 on Borussia Dortmund sits right on our fair price of 1.46.

Five markets clear our thresholds for this match: Borussia Dortmund to win (68%), Borussia Dortmund or draw (86%), over 1.5 goals (84%), over 2.5 goals (68%) and both teams to score: yes (61%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals are expected: 2.6 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.1 for Eintracht Frankfurt, 3.7 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 61%.

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-1 at 9%, ahead of 2-0 (8%) and 3-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 11 matches like this one.

Form: Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt in their last five

Borussia Dortmund have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. The results cover every competition in our data.

Borussia Dortmund: last five matches

Eintracht Frankfurt: last five matches

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Borussia Dortmund won 3, Eintracht Frankfurt won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 8 May 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Borussia Dortmund has drifted from 1.39 to 1.48 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.