UEFA Conference League
Braga vs Gent prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 22 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Braga
Gent
- Braga
- 52%Megapari 1.90
- Draw
- 26%Megapari 3.81
- Gent
- 22%Megapari 4.04
- Under 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.31Bet 1.32
xG 1.5–0.8 · likeliest 1-0 (14%)
Braga host Gent in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Municipal (Braga). Braga are 35th in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Gent are 13th with 3.
Who will win Braga vs Gent?
Braga are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 26% for the draw and 22% for Gent. Megapari's 1.90 on Braga sits right on our fair price of 1.92.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (76%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braga to win | 52% | 1.92 | 1.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | 3.81 |
| Gent to win | 22% | 4.60 | 4.04 |
| Braga or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.26 |
| Draw or Gent | 48% | 2.09 | 1.94 |
| Braga or Gent | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 2.02 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 76% | 1.31 | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.92 | 1.69 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.08 | 2.05 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 12:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Braga vs Gent
Expected goals are 1.5 for Braga and 0.8 for Gent, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.
Braga vs Gent correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 14%, ahead of 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 14.3% | 6.97 |
| 1-1 | 12.5% | 8.01 |
| 2-0 | 11.2% | 8.91 |
| 0-0 | 10.3% | 9.74 |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | 11.00 |
Form: Braga and Gent in their last five
Braga have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. Gent are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 9 goals scored and 2 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.
Braga: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Copenhagen (away)UEFA Conference League | 0-3 | L |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Sporting CP (home)Primeira Liga | 1-3 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Santa Clara (away)Primeira Liga | 0-0 | D |
| 14 Sep 2026 | GD Estoril Praia (home)Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Estrela da Amadora (away)Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
Gent: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | AGF Aarhus (home)UEFA Conference League | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Zulte Waregem (away)Belgian Pro League | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Standard Liege (home)Belgian Pro League | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Genk (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Cercle Brugge (away)Belgian Pro League | 3-0 | W |
Braga vs Gent head to head
Braga and Gent have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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