Brentford vs Liverpool prediction: Premier League, Saturday 17 October

Brentford host Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Brentford Community Stadium (Brentford). Brentford are 4th in the table with 9 points from 5 games; Liverpool are 6th with 9.

Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?

There is little to separate the sides: Brentford 35%, the draw 26%, Liverpool 39%. Megapari's 2.50 on Liverpool sits right on our fair price of 2.56.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (60%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Brentford vs Liverpool

Expected goals are 1.4 for Brentford and 1.5 for Liverpool, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 58%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.

Brentford vs Liverpool correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Brentford and Liverpool in their last five

Brentford are unbeaten in 5 (2 wins, 3 draws), with 10 goals scored and 4 conceded. Liverpool are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 7 goals scored and 3 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

Brentford: last five matches

Liverpool: last five matches

Brentford vs Liverpool head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Brentford won 1, Liverpool won 4 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Liverpool 1–1 Brentford.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.