EFL Championship
Bristol City vs Sheffield United prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Bristol City
Sheffield United
- Bristol City
- 40%
- Draw
- 27%
- Sheffield United
- 33%
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.4–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Bristol City host Sheffield United in the EFL Championship on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT.
Who will win Bristol City vs Sheffield United?
There is little to separate the sides: Bristol City 40%, the draw 27%, Sheffield United 33%.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City to win | 40% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 |
| Sheffield United to win | 33% | 3.02 |
| Bristol City or draw | 67% | 1.49 |
| Draw or Sheffield United | 60% | 1.67 |
| Bristol City or Sheffield United | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.19 |
Goals in Bristol City vs Sheffield United
Expected goals are 1.4 for Bristol City and 1.3 for Sheffield United, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Bristol City vs Sheffield United correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (9%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 7.86 |
| 1-0 | 9.2% | 10.92 |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | 11.49 |
| 0-1 | 8.1% | 12.33 |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | 12.89 |
Form: Bristol City and Sheffield United in their last five
Bristol City have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Sheffield United have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Bristol City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | Watford (home)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Southampton (away)EFL Championship | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Burnley (away)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Preston North End (away)EFL Championship | 3-1 | W |
Sheffield United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Stoke City (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Wolves (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers (away)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Norwich City (home)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Bolton Wanderers (home)EFL Championship | 3-2 | W |
Bristol City vs Sheffield United head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Bristol City won 2, Sheffield United won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 6 April 2026, finished Bristol City 1–0 Sheffield United.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | Bristol City – Sheffield UnitedEFL Championship | 1-0 |
| 9 Aug 2025 | Sheffield United – Bristol CityEFL Championship | 1-4 |
| 12 May 2025 | Sheffield United – Bristol CityEFL Championship | 3-0 |
| 8 May 2025 | Bristol City – Sheffield UnitedEFL Championship | 0-3 |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Sheffield United – Bristol CityEFL Championship | 1-1 |
| 5 Nov 2024 | Bristol City – Sheffield UnitedEFL Championship | 1-2 |
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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