BUL vs NEC prediction: Uganda Premier League, Wednesday 21 October

BUL host NEC in the Uganda Premier League on Wednesday 21 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. BUL are 3rd in the table with 13 points from 5 games; NEC are 2nd with 14.

Who will win BUL vs NEC?

There is little to separate the sides: BUL 34%, the draw 33%, NEC 32%. At 33% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (33%) and under 3.5 goals (83%).

Goals in BUL vs NEC

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.0 and 0.9, and under 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 46%.

BUL vs NEC correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-0 at 16%, ahead of 1-0 (14%) and 1-1 (14%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.

Form: BUL and NEC in their last five

BUL are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 11 goals scored and 3 conceded. NEC are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 8 goals scored and 2 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

BUL: last five matches

NEC: last five matches

BUL vs NEC head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, BUL won none, NEC won 2 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, on 28 April 2026, finished BUL 0–1 NEC.

The rest of the Uganda Premier League is on our Uganda Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.