LaLiga
CA Osasuna vs Racing de Santander prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 18 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
CA Osasuna host Racing de Santander in LaLiga on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 15:00 EAT. The match is played at El Sadar (Pamplona). CA Osasuna are 14th in the table with 8 points from 7 games; Racing de Santander are 16th with 7.
Who will win CA Osasuna vs Racing de Santander?
CA Osasuna are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 24% for the draw and 23% for Racing de Santander. Megapari's 1.95 on CA Osasuna sits right on our fair price of 1.90.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (83%) and both teams to score: yes (58%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna to win | 53% | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 | 3.68 |
| Racing de Santander to win | 23% | 4.28 | 4.32 |
| CA Osasuna or draw | 77% | 1.30 | 1.26 |
| Draw or Racing de Santander | 47% | 2.11 | 1.95 |
| CA Osasuna or Racing de Santander | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 83% | 1.20 | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 | 2.17 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 58% | 1.71 | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | 2.41 | 2.15 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in CA Osasuna vs Racing de Santander
Goals are expected: 2.2 for CA Osasuna and 1.4 for Racing de Santander, 3.6 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 58%.
CA Osasuna vs Racing de Santander correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-1 at 9%, ahead of 1-1 (9%) and 3-1 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 11 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.79 |
| 1-1 | 8.9% | 11.19 |
| 3-1 | 6.7% | 14.86 |
| 2-0 | 6.6% | 15.11 |
| 2-2 | 6.5% | 15.38 |
Form: CA Osasuna and Racing de Santander in their last five
CA Osasuna have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -8. Racing de Santander have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -9. The results cover every competition in our data.
CA Osasuna: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Rayo Vallecano (home)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Atlético Madrid (away)LaLiga | 0-4 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Espanyol (home)LaLiga | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Deportivo Alavés (away)LaLiga | 2-5 | L |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Getafe (home)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
Racing de Santander: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Celta Vigo (away)LaLiga | 0-5 | L |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Barcelona (away)LaLiga | 2-7 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Deportivo Alavés (home)LaLiga | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Rayo Vallecano (away)LaLiga | 2-3 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Elche (home)LaLiga | 3-2 | W |
CA Osasuna vs Racing de Santander head to head
CA Osasuna and Racing de Santander have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT