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Celta Vigo vs Real Betis prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 25 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Celta Vigo

Real Betis

Celta Vigo
38%Megapari 2.77
Draw
27%Megapari 3.57
Real Betis
35%Megapari 2.67

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

xG 1.4–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)

Celta Vigo host Real Betis in LaLiga on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 18:15 EAT. The match is played at Balaidos (Vigo). Celta Vigo are 8th in the table with 11 points from 9 games; Real Betis are 3rd with 19.

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?

There is little to separate the sides: Celta Vigo 38%, the draw 27%, Real Betis 35%. Megapari pays 2.77 on Celta Vigo, more than our fair price of 2.63.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Celta Vigo to win 38% 2.63 2.77
Draw 27% 3.69 3.57
Real Betis to win 35% 2.86 2.67
Celta Vigo or draw 65% 1.54 1.54
Draw or Real Betis 62% 1.61 1.50
Celta Vigo or Real Betis 73% 1.37 1.34
Over 1.5 goals 75% 1.33 1.24
Over 2.5 goals 52% 1.94 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 48% 2.07 2.03
Under 3.5 goals 71% 1.42 1.34
Both teams to score: yes 56% 1.80 1.64
Both teams to score: no 44% 2.25 2.15

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Celta Vigo vs Real Betis

Expected goals are 1.4 for Celta Vigo and 1.3 for Real Betis, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (9%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-112.7%7.89
1-09.1%11.00
2-18.7%11.44
0-18.0%12.48
1-27.8%12.90

Form: Celta Vigo and Real Betis in their last five

Celta Vigo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Real Betis have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Celta Vigo: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Deportivo Alavés (home)LaLiga2-1W
15 Oct 2026Juventus (home)UEFA Europa League1-2L
11 Oct 2026Elche (away)LaLiga0-0D
19 Sep 2026Racing de Santander (home)LaLiga5-0W
16 Sep 2026Omonia (away)UEFA Europa League0-1L

Real Betis: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Barcelona (home)LaLiga2-5L
14 Oct 2026Porto (home)UEFA Champions League3-2W
11 Oct 2026CA Osasuna (home)LaLiga5-2W
20 Sep 2026Deportivo de A Coruna (away)LaLiga1-1D
17 Sep 2026Getafe (home)LaLiga1-0W

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Celta Vigo won 2, Real Betis won 1 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2026, finished Real Betis 1–1 Celta Vigo.

DateMatchScore
15 Mar 2026Real Betis – Celta VigoLaLiga1-1
27 Aug 2025Celta Vigo – Real BetisLaLiga1-1
8 Feb 2025Celta Vigo – Real BetisLaLiga3-2
10 Nov 2024Real Betis – Celta VigoLaLiga2-2
12 Apr 2024Real Betis – Celta VigoLaLiga2-1
3 Jan 2024Celta Vigo – Real BetisLaLiga2-1

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Celta Vigo has drifted from 2.44 to 2.77 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.97 to 1.91, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

BetOpening oddsLatest odds
Celta Vigo to win2.442.77 ↑
Draw3.523.57 ↑
Real Betis to win3.102.67 ↓
Over 2.5 goals1.971.91 ↓
Under 2.5 goals1.972.03 ↑
Both teams to score: yes1.761.64 ↓
Both teams to score: no2.062.15 ↑

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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