LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 25 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
- Celta Vigo
- 38%Megapari 2.77
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.57
- Real Betis
- 35%Megapari 2.67
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.4–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Celta Vigo host Real Betis in LaLiga on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 18:15 EAT. The match is played at Balaidos (Vigo). Celta Vigo are 8th in the table with 11 points from 9 games; Real Betis are 3rd with 19.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
There is little to separate the sides: Celta Vigo 38%, the draw 27%, Real Betis 35%. Megapari pays 2.77 on Celta Vigo, more than our fair price of 2.63.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo to win | 38% | 2.63 | 2.77 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | 3.57 |
| Real Betis to win | 35% | 2.86 | 2.67 |
| Celta Vigo or draw | 65% | 1.54 | 1.54 |
| Draw or Real Betis | 62% | 1.61 | 1.50 |
| Celta Vigo or Real Betis | 73% | 1.37 | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 2.03 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.34 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.80 | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.25 | 2.15 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Celta Vigo vs Real Betis
Expected goals are 1.4 for Celta Vigo and 1.3 for Real Betis, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (9%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 7.89 |
| 1-0 | 9.1% | 11.00 |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | 11.44 |
| 0-1 | 8.0% | 12.48 |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | 12.90 |
Form: Celta Vigo and Real Betis in their last five
Celta Vigo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Real Betis have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Celta Vigo: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Deportivo Alavés (home)LaLiga | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Juventus (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Elche (away)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Racing de Santander (home)LaLiga | 5-0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Omonia (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
Real Betis: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Barcelona (home)LaLiga | 2-5 | L |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Porto (home)UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | CA Osasuna (home)LaLiga | 5-2 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Deportivo de A Coruna (away)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Getafe (home)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Celta Vigo won 2, Real Betis won 1 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2026, finished Real Betis 1–1 Celta Vigo.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Real Betis – Celta VigoLaLiga | 1-1 |
| 27 Aug 2025 | Celta Vigo – Real BetisLaLiga | 1-1 |
| 8 Feb 2025 | Celta Vigo – Real BetisLaLiga | 3-2 |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Real Betis – Celta VigoLaLiga | 2-2 |
| 12 Apr 2024 | Real Betis – Celta VigoLaLiga | 2-1 |
| 3 Jan 2024 | Celta Vigo – Real BetisLaLiga | 2-1 |
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Celta Vigo has drifted from 2.44 to 2.77 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.97 to 1.91, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo to win | 2.44 | 2.77 ↑ |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.57 ↑ |
| Real Betis to win | 3.10 | 2.67 ↓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.91 ↓ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 2.03 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.76 | 1.64 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.06 | 2.15 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT