UEFA Europa League
Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 22 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Celtic
Celta Vigo
- Celtic
- 38%Megapari 3.10
- Draw
- 26%Megapari 3.59
- Celta Vigo
- 36%Megapari 2.32
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.7–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Celtic host Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Celtic Park (Glasgow). Celtic are 33rd in the table with 0 points from 2 games; Celta Vigo are 28th with 0.
Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
There is little to separate the sides: Celtic 38%, the draw 26%, Celta Vigo 36%. Megapari pays 3.10 on Celtic, more than our fair price of 2.61.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to win | 38% | 2.61 | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | 3.59 |
| Celta Vigo to win | 36% | 2.80 | 2.32 |
| Celtic or draw | 64% | 1.55 | 1.65 |
| Draw or Celta Vigo | 62% | 1.62 | 1.40 |
| Celtic or Celta Vigo | 74% | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | 2.02 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.77 | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.30 | 2.15 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 05:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Celtic vs Celta Vigo
Expected goals are 1.7 for Celtic and 1.3 for Celta Vigo, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 54%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.
Celtic vs Celta Vigo correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.6% | 8.62 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.78 |
| 1-0 | 8.1% | 12.35 |
| 1-2 | 7.3% | 13.76 |
| 2-0 | 7.1% | 14.04 |
Form: Celtic and Celta Vigo in their last five
Celtic have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Celta Vigo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Celtic: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Benfica (away)UEFA Europa League | 1-4 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Motherwell (away)Scottish Premiership | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Rangers (home)Scottish Premiership | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Ferencvarosi (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-3 | L |
| 9 Sep 2026 | St. Johnstone (away)Scottish Premiership | 1-0 | W |
Celta Vigo: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Juventus (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Elche (away)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Racing de Santander (home)LaLiga | 5-0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Omonia (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Malaga (home)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
Celtic vs Celta Vigo head to head
Celtic and Celta Vigo have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT