Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian prediction: Scottish Premiership, Sunday 18 October

Celtic host Heart of Midlothian in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Celtic Park (Glasgow). Celtic are 2nd in the table with 18 points from 7 games; Heart of Midlothian are 3rd with 16.

Who will win Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian?

Celtic are favourites, though not by much: 57% to win, 22% for the draw and 20% for Heart of Midlothian. Megapari's 1.58 on Celtic is shorter than our fair price of 1.74: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Celtic to win (57%) and over 1.5 goals (79%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian

Goals are expected: 2.0 for Celtic and 1.2 for Heart of Midlothian, 3.1 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 58%.

Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Celtic and Heart of Midlothian in their last five

Celtic have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Heart of Midlothian have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +7. The results cover every competition in our data.

Celtic: last five matches

Heart of Midlothian: last five matches

Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Celtic won 3, Heart of Midlothian won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Celtic 3–1 Heart of Midlothian.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Celtic has drifted from 1.44 to 1.58 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.