Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction: Premier League, Saturday 24 October

Chelsea host Tottenham in the Premier League on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 19:30 EAT. The match is played at Stamford Bridge (London). Chelsea are 4th in the table with 13 points from 7 games; Tottenham are 20th with 3.

Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?

Chelsea are favourites, though not by much: 54% to win, 23% for the draw and 23% for Tottenham. Megapari's 1.90 on Chelsea sits right on our fair price of 1.86.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (81%) and both teams to score: yes (59%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Chelsea vs Tottenham

Goals are expected: 2.1 for Chelsea and 1.2 for Tottenham, 3.3 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.

Chelsea vs Tottenham correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Chelsea and Tottenham in their last five

Chelsea have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Tottenham have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

Chelsea: last five matches

Tottenham: last five matches

Chelsea vs Tottenham head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Chelsea won 6, Tottenham won none and none was drawn. The most recent, on 19 May 2026, finished Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Chelsea has drifted from 1.75 to 1.90 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.64 to 1.66, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.