UEFA Champions League
Como vs Man United prediction: UEFA Champions League, Wednesday 21 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Como host Man United in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 21 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como). Como are 12th in the table with 3 points from 2 games; Man United are 13th with 3.
Who will win Como vs Man United?
There is little to separate the sides: Como 42%, the draw 25%, Man United 33%. Megapari's 2.35 on Como sits right on our fair price of 2.39.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (79%) and both teams to score: yes (59%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como to win | 42% | 2.39 | 2.35 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | 3.80 |
| Man United to win | 33% | 3.04 | 3.05 |
| Como or draw | 67% | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| Draw or Man United | 58% | 1.72 | 1.66 |
| Como or Man United | 75% | 1.34 | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | 2.27 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | 1.43 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 59% | 1.70 | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.43 | 2.32 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 15 October 2026, 05:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Como vs Man United
Expected goals are 1.6 for Como and 1.5 for Man United, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.
Como vs Man United correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.2% | 8.95 |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | 11.26 |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | 12.79 |
| 1-0 | 6.9% | 14.41 |
| 2-2 | 6.5% | 15.46 |
Form: Como and Man United in their last five
Como have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Man United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Como: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | Feyenoord (away)UEFA Champions League | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Roma (home)Serie A | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Frosinone (away)Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Parma (home)Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| 10 Sep 2026 | RB Leipzig (home)UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
Man United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | Atlético Madrid (away)UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Tottenham (home)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Fulham (away)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Man City (home)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Sabah (home)UEFA Champions League | 4-0 | W |
Como vs Man United head to head
Como and Man United have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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