Como vs US Sassuolo prediction: Serie A, Saturday 24 October

Como host US Sassuolo in Serie A on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como). Como are 8th in the table with 11 points from 6 games; US Sassuolo are 11th with 8.

Who will win Como vs US Sassuolo?

The model makes Como clear favourites at 65%, with the draw at 20% and US Sassuolo at 15%. Megapari's 1.49 on Como is shorter than our fair price of 1.55: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Como to win (65%), Como or draw (85%), over 1.5 goals (79%) and over 2.5 goals (60%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Como vs US Sassuolo

Goals are expected: 2.1 for Como and 1.0 for US Sassuolo, 3.1 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Como vs US Sassuolo correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 1-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Como and US Sassuolo in their last five

Como have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. US Sassuolo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Como: last five matches

US Sassuolo: last five matches

Como vs US Sassuolo head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Como won 1, US Sassuolo won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 17 April 2026, finished US Sassuolo 2–1 Como.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Como has drifted from 1.47 to 1.49 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.51 to 1.44, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.