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Coventry City vs Fulham prediction: Premier League, Saturday 24 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Coventry City

Fulham

Coventry City
35%Megapari 3.12
Draw
27%Megapari 3.61
Fulham
38%Megapari 2.39

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

xG 1.3–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)

Coventry City host Fulham in the Premier League on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Ricoh Arena (Coventry). Coventry City are 14th in the table with 6 points from 6 games; Fulham are 15th with 5.

Who will win Coventry City vs Fulham?

There is little to separate the sides: Coventry City 35%, the draw 27%, Fulham 38%. Megapari's 2.39 on Fulham is shorter than our fair price of 2.66: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Coventry City to win 35% 2.86 3.12
Draw 27% 3.64 3.61
Fulham to win 38% 2.66 2.39
Coventry City or draw 62% 1.60 1.65
Draw or Fulham 65% 1.54 1.42
Coventry City or Fulham 73% 1.38 1.33
Over 1.5 goals 73% 1.36 1.19
Over 2.5 goals 52% 1.93 1.81
Under 2.5 goals 48% 2.08 2.15
Under 3.5 goals 73% 1.37 1.38
Both teams to score: yes 56% 1.79 1.58
Both teams to score: no 44% 2.27 2.26

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Coventry City vs Fulham

Expected goals are 1.3 for Coventry City and 1.2 for Fulham, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Coventry City vs Fulham correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 0-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-113.2%7.59
1-09.8%10.25
0-19.1%11.03
2-18.4%11.95
0-08.3%12.09

Form: Coventry City and Fulham in their last five

Coventry City have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Fulham have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Coventry City: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
12 Oct 2026Newcastle (home)Premier League4-1W
19 Sep 2026Nottingham Forest (away)Premier League1-0W
13 Sep 2026Brighton (home)Premier League0-5L
5 Sep 2026Man City (away)Premier League0-1L
29 Aug 2026Hull City (home)Premier League0-1L

Fulham: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Hull City (home)Premier League1-0W
10 Oct 2026Ipswich Town (away)Premier League1-2L
20 Sep 2026Man United (home)Premier League1-1D
12 Sep 2026Liverpool (away)Premier League0-0D
5 Sep 2026Crystal Palace (home)Premier League2-3L

Coventry City vs Fulham head to head

Coventry City and Fulham have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Fulham has drifted from 2.33 to 2.39 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.88 to 1.81, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

BetOpening oddsLatest odds
Coventry City to win3.213.12 ↓
Draw3.633.61 ↓
Fulham to win2.332.39 ↑
Over 2.5 goals1.881.81 ↓
Under 2.5 goals2.072.15 ↑
Both teams to score: yes1.621.58 ↓
Both teams to score: no2.192.26 ↑

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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