Premier League
Coventry City vs Fulham prediction: Premier League, Saturday 24 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Coventry City
Fulham
- Coventry City
- 35%Megapari 3.12
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.61
- Fulham
- 38%Megapari 2.39
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.3–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Coventry City host Fulham in the Premier League on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Ricoh Arena (Coventry). Coventry City are 14th in the table with 6 points from 6 games; Fulham are 15th with 5.
Who will win Coventry City vs Fulham?
There is little to separate the sides: Coventry City 35%, the draw 27%, Fulham 38%. Megapari's 2.39 on Fulham is shorter than our fair price of 2.66: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City to win | 35% | 2.86 | 3.12 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | 3.61 |
| Fulham to win | 38% | 2.66 | 2.39 |
| Coventry City or draw | 62% | 1.60 | 1.65 |
| Draw or Fulham | 65% | 1.54 | 1.42 |
| Coventry City or Fulham | 73% | 1.38 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | 2.15 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.79 | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.27 | 2.26 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Coventry City vs Fulham
Expected goals are 1.3 for Coventry City and 1.2 for Fulham, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Coventry City vs Fulham correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 0-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.2% | 7.59 |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | 10.25 |
| 0-1 | 9.1% | 11.03 |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | 11.95 |
| 0-0 | 8.3% | 12.09 |
Form: Coventry City and Fulham in their last five
Coventry City have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Fulham have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Coventry City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Newcastle (home)Premier League | 4-1 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Nottingham Forest (away)Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Brighton (home)Premier League | 0-5 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Man City (away)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Hull City (home)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
Fulham: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Hull City (home)Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Ipswich Town (away)Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Man United (home)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Liverpool (away)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Crystal Palace (home)Premier League | 2-3 | L |
Coventry City vs Fulham head to head
Coventry City and Fulham have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Fulham has drifted from 2.33 to 2.39 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.88 to 1.81, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry City to win | 3.21 | 3.12 ↓ |
| Draw | 3.63 | 3.61 ↓ |
| Fulham to win | 2.33 | 2.39 ↑ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.81 ↓ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.15 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.62 | 1.58 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.19 | 2.26 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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