Nigeria Premier Football League
Doma United vs Kun Khalifat prediction: Nigeria Premier Football League, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Doma United host Kun Khalifat in the Nigeria Premier Football League on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Pantami Stadium (Gombe). Doma United are 5th in the table with 13 points from 8 games; Kun Khalifat are 18th with 8.
Who will win Doma United vs Kun Khalifat?
The model makes Doma United clear favourites at 65%, with the draw at 22% and Kun Khalifat at 13%. Megapari's 1.35 on Doma United is shorter than our fair price of 1.54: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Doma United to win (65%) and Doma United or draw (87%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doma United to win Tip | 65% | 1.54 | 1.35 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.54 | 4.20 |
| Kun Khalifat to win | 13% | 7.54 | 7.70 |
| Doma United or draw Tip | 87% | 1.15 | 1.02 |
| Draw or Kun Khalifat | 35% | 2.84 | 2.67 |
| Doma United or Kun Khalifat | 78% | 1.28 | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 | 1.98 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.04 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.96 | 1.75 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 17:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Doma United vs Kun Khalifat
Expected goals are 1.9 for Doma United and 0.8 for Kun Khalifat, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.
Doma United vs Kun Khalifat correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 13%, ahead of 2-0 (12%) and 1-1 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 12.5% | 7.98 |
| 2-0 | 12.2% | 8.21 |
| 1-1 | 10.7% | 9.35 |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 10.33 |
| 3-0 | 7.6% | 13.09 |
Form: Doma United and Kun Khalifat in their last five
Doma United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. Kun Khalifat have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. The results cover every competition in our data.
Doma United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Nasarawa United (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2026 | Warri Wolves (home)Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Katsina United (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Plateau United (home)Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-2 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Kano Pillars (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-4 | L |
Kun Khalifat: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Shooting Stars (home)Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-0 | W |
| 4 Oct 2026 | Niger Tornadoes (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Kwara United (home)Nigeria Premier Football League | 1-0 | W |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Rivers United (away)Nigeria Premier Football League | 0-5 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Rangers International (home)Nigeria Premier Football League | 2-4 | L |
Doma United vs Kun Khalifat head to head
Doma United and Kun Khalifat have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the Nigeria Premier Football League is on our NPFL page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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