Scottish Premiership
Dundee United vs Aberdeen prediction: Scottish Premiership, Saturday 24 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Dundee United
Aberdeen
- Dundee United
- 44%Megapari 2.18
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.54
- Aberdeen
- 29%Megapari 3.04
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.4–1.0 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Dundee United host Aberdeen in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Tannadice Park (Dundee). Dundee United are 6th in the table with 12 points from 9 games; Aberdeen are 7th with 11.
Who will win Dundee United vs Aberdeen?
There is little to separate the sides: Dundee United 44%, the draw 27%, Aberdeen 29%. Megapari's 2.18 on Dundee United is shorter than our fair price of 2.30: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United to win | 44% | 2.30 | 2.18 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 | 3.54 |
| Aberdeen to win | 29% | 3.42 | 3.04 |
| Dundee United or draw | 71% | 1.41 | 1.35 |
| Draw or Aberdeen | 56% | 1.77 | 1.64 |
| Dundee United or Aberdeen | 73% | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 2.06 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.81 | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.24 | 2.25 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Dundee United vs Aberdeen
Expected goals are 1.4 for Dundee United and 1.0 for Aberdeen, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 51%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.
Dundee United vs Aberdeen correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (12%) and 0-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.3% | 7.54 |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | 8.53 |
| 0-0 | 9.4% | 10.68 |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | 11.34 |
| 0-1 | 8.7% | 11.48 |
Form: Dundee United and Aberdeen in their last five
Dundee United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Aberdeen have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. The results cover every competition in our data.
Dundee United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | St. Johnstone (away)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Hibernian (home)Scottish Premiership | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | St. Mirren (away)Scottish Premiership | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Falkirk (home)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Motherwell (away)Scottish Premiership | 0-3 | L |
Aberdeen: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | St. Mirren (home)Scottish Premiership | 3-1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | St. Johnstone (home)Scottish Premiership | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Hibernian (away)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Motherwell (away)Scottish Premiership | 4-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Kilmarnock (home)Scottish Premiership | 0-0 | D |
Dundee United vs Aberdeen head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Dundee United won 2, Aberdeen won 1 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Aberdeen 2–0 Dundee United.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | Aberdeen – Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership | 2-0 |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Dundee United – AberdeenScottish Premiership | 0-0 |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Aberdeen – Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership | 1-1 |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Dundee United – AberdeenScottish Premiership | 2-0 |
| 17 May 2025 | Dundee United – AberdeenScottish Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2 Mar 2025 | Aberdeen – Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership | 2-2 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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