Dundee vs Rangers prediction: Scottish Premiership, Saturday 17 October

Dundee host Rangers in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Dens Park (Dundee). Dundee are 4th in the table with 13 points from 8 games; Rangers are 1st with 19.

Who will win Dundee vs Rangers?

The model makes Rangers clear favourites at 62%, with the draw at 21% and Dundee at 17%. Megapari's 1.31 on Rangers is shorter than our fair price of 1.62: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Rangers to win (62%) and draw or Rangers (83%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Dundee vs Rangers

Goals are expected: 1.1 for Dundee and 1.8 for Rangers, 2.9 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.

Dundee vs Rangers correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Dundee and Rangers in their last five

Dundee have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Rangers are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 7 goals scored and 2 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

Dundee: last five matches

Rangers: last five matches

Dundee vs Rangers head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Dundee won none, Rangers won 4 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 25 January 2026, finished Rangers 3–0 Dundee.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Rangers has shortened from 1.37 to 1.31 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.56 to 1.42, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.