South African Premiership
Durban City vs AmaZulu prediction: South African Premiership, Tuesday 13 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Durban City host AmaZulu in the South African Premiership on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at Chatsworth (Durban). Durban City are 10th in the table with 7 points from 7 games; AmaZulu are 3rd with 16.
Who will win Durban City vs AmaZulu?
There is little to separate the sides: Durban City 33%, the draw 33%, AmaZulu 34%. At 33% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.63 on AmaZulu is shorter than our fair price of 2.98: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (33%), under 2.5 goals (65%) and under 3.5 goals (86%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Durban City to win | 33% | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Draw Tip | 33% | 3.02 | 3.00 |
| AmaZulu to win | 34% | 2.98 | 2.63 |
| Durban City or draw | 66% | 1.51 | 1.40 |
| Draw or AmaZulu | 67% | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Durban City or AmaZulu | 67% | 1.49 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.84 | 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 65% | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 86% | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | 2.24 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | 1.81 | 1.74 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 12 October 2026, 12:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Durban City vs AmaZulu
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 0.8 and 0.8, and under 2.5 goals at 65%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 45%.
Durban City vs AmaZulu correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-0 at 21%, ahead of 0-1 (16%) and 1-0 (15%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 20.5% | 4.87 |
| 0-1 | 16.0% | 6.25 |
| 1-0 | 15.2% | 6.59 |
| 1-1 | 13.5% | 7.43 |
| 0-2 | 6.8% | 14.68 |
Form: Durban City and AmaZulu in their last five
Durban City have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. AmaZulu have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Durban City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Milford (away)South African Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Orlando Pirates (away)South African Premiership | 0-2 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Stellenbosch (home)South African Premiership | 0-0 | D |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Kruger United (away)South African Premiership | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Richards Bay (home)South African Premiership | 1-1 | D |
AmaZulu: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Polokwane City (away)South African Premiership | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Marumo Gallants (home)South African Premiership | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Richards Bay (away)South African Premiership | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns (away)South African Premiership | 2-5 | L |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Siwelele (home)South African Premiership | 2-0 | W |
Durban City vs AmaZulu head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Durban City won none, AmaZulu won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 23 May 2026, finished Durban City 0–1 AmaZulu.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | Durban City – AmaZuluSouth African Premiership | 0-1 |
| 18 Oct 2025 | AmaZulu – Durban CitySouth African Premiership | 1-0 |
Every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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