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Süper Lig

Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa prediction: Süper Lig, Saturday 24 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Eyupspor

Kasimpasa

Eyupspor
25%Megapari 4.79
Draw
27%Megapari 3.83
Kasimpasa
49%Megapari 1.78

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

xG 1.1–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)

Eyupspor host Kasimpasa in the Süper Lig on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 13:30 EAT. The match is played at Necmi Kadioglu (Istanbul). Eyupspor are 18th in the table with 3 points from 8 games; Kasimpasa are 7th with 13.

Who will win Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?

Kasimpasa are favourites, though not by much: 49% to win, 27% for the draw and 25% for Eyupspor. Megapari's 1.78 on Kasimpasa is shorter than our fair price of 2.05: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Eyupspor to win 25% 4.06 4.79
Draw 27% 3.76 3.83
Kasimpasa to win 49% 2.05 1.78
Eyupspor or draw 51% 1.95 2.11
Draw or Kasimpasa 75% 1.33 1.21
Eyupspor or Kasimpasa 73% 1.36 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 72% 1.38 1.26
Over 2.5 goals 48% 2.07 1.99
Under 2.5 goals 52% 1.94 1.89
Under 3.5 goals 74% 1.35 1.27
Both teams to score: yes 51% 1.95 1.84
Both teams to score: no 49% 2.05 1.86

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa

Expected goals are 1.1 for Eyupspor and 1.4 for Kasimpasa, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 48%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.

Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 0-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-113.2%7.56
0-111.2%8.94
0-09.0%11.14
1-28.8%11.38
1-08.7%11.49

Form: Eyupspor and Kasimpasa in their last five

Eyupspor have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 0 in that run. Kasimpasa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Eyupspor: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
17 Oct 2026BB Erzurumspor (away)Süper Lig0-2L
12 Oct 2026Goztepe (home)Süper Lig0-4L
20 Sep 2026Fenerbahçe (away)Süper Lig0-8L
12 Sep 2026Caykur Rizespor (home)Süper Lig0-2L
6 Sep 2026Arca Corum (away)Süper Lig0-3L

Kasimpasa: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Samsunspor (home)Süper Lig4-1W
9 Oct 2026Galatasaray (away)Süper Lig1-3L
18 Sep 2026Konyaspor (home)Süper Lig0-0D
13 Sep 2026Genclerbirligi (away)Süper Lig2-1W
6 Sep 2026Amedspor (home)Süper Lig2-2D

Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Eyupspor won 1, Kasimpasa won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2026, finished Kasimpasa 1–0 Eyupspor.

DateMatchScore
15 Mar 2026Kasimpasa – EyupsporSüper Lig1-0
20 Oct 2025Eyupspor – KasimpasaSüper Lig2-0
10 May 2025Eyupspor – KasimpasaSüper Lig0-3
13 Dec 2024Kasimpasa – EyupsporSüper Lig2-0

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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