Süper Lig
Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa prediction: Süper Lig, Saturday 24 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Eyupspor
Kasimpasa
- Eyupspor
- 25%Megapari 4.79
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.83
- Kasimpasa
- 49%Megapari 1.78
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.1–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Eyupspor host Kasimpasa in the Süper Lig on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 13:30 EAT. The match is played at Necmi Kadioglu (Istanbul). Eyupspor are 18th in the table with 3 points from 8 games; Kasimpasa are 7th with 13.
Who will win Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?
Kasimpasa are favourites, though not by much: 49% to win, 27% for the draw and 25% for Eyupspor. Megapari's 1.78 on Kasimpasa is shorter than our fair price of 2.05: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor to win | 25% | 4.06 | 4.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 | 3.83 |
| Kasimpasa to win | 49% | 2.05 | 1.78 |
| Eyupspor or draw | 51% | 1.95 | 2.11 |
| Draw or Kasimpasa | 75% | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Eyupspor or Kasimpasa | 73% | 1.36 | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.89 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.05 | 1.86 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa
Expected goals are 1.1 for Eyupspor and 1.4 for Kasimpasa, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 48%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 0-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.2% | 7.56 |
| 0-1 | 11.2% | 8.94 |
| 0-0 | 9.0% | 11.14 |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | 11.38 |
| 1-0 | 8.7% | 11.49 |
Form: Eyupspor and Kasimpasa in their last five
Eyupspor have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 0 in that run. Kasimpasa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Eyupspor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | BB Erzurumspor (away)Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Goztepe (home)Süper Lig | 0-4 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Fenerbahçe (away)Süper Lig | 0-8 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Caykur Rizespor (home)Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Arca Corum (away)Süper Lig | 0-3 | L |
Kasimpasa: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Samsunspor (home)Süper Lig | 4-1 | W |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Galatasaray (away)Süper Lig | 1-3 | L |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Konyaspor (home)Süper Lig | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Genclerbirligi (away)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Amedspor (home)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Eyupspor won 1, Kasimpasa won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2026, finished Kasimpasa 1–0 Eyupspor.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Kasimpasa – EyupsporSüper Lig | 1-0 |
| 20 Oct 2025 | Eyupspor – KasimpasaSüper Lig | 2-0 |
| 10 May 2025 | Eyupspor – KasimpasaSüper Lig | 0-3 |
| 13 Dec 2024 | Kasimpasa – EyupsporSüper Lig | 2-0 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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